2025 FCBL Midseason Report

Kyle Wright, Co-Pilot, Gemini, and ChatGPT

For the 2025 FCBL Midseason Report, our intrepid author fed the standings and run differential as of July 6 to three AI assistants, and then asked the sites to determine each team’s odds of winning the World Series.

Not surprisingly, Kansas City and Boston are the heavy favorites as we approach the All-Star break.

Interestingly, Gemini doesn’t seem to think Baltimore has any chance of reaching the postseason, and ChatGPT has already counted Los Angeles out of the playoffs.

If you are Toronto, Saint Louis, Tampa Bay, Cleveland, Detroit or the Chicagos: Co-Pilot is sayin’ there’s a chance! Less than 2% for all of them combined, but a chance nonetheless.

Enjoy the full results below!

 Co-Pilot

Team = Approx. Odds to Win WS (%)

Kansas City = 22%

Boston = 18%

Philadelphia = 13%

Montreal = 12%

Baltimore = 10%

Los Angeles = 8%

Texas = 6%

Atlanta = 4%

Cincinnati = 3%

Others = <2%

Final Thoughts from Co-Pilot

Kansas City looks like the juggernaut with dominant stats and easy matchups. Boston is not far behind and might benefit from the slightly weaker pool on its side of the bracket. Wild cards like Philadelphia and Montreal could play spoiler with their strong performances.

Gemini

Team = World Series Win Probability (%)

Boston = 33.89%

Kansas City = 33.11%

Philadelphia = 14.78%

Montreal = 6.63%

Los Angeles = 5.12%

Texas = 3.90%

Atlanta = 1.67%

Cincinnati = 0.90%

Author’s note: Gemini made reference to Kansas City as “the top team in the entire league” in our conversation, but then gave Boston better odds to win the title. Asked to explain this, Gemini stated it sees Kansas City’s league as MUCH stronger than Boston’s. Gemini would favor Kansas City over Boston in a head-to-head matchup, but thinks Kansas City will have a harder time reaching the World Series.

ChatGPT

Author’s note: It was a contentious conversation. ChatGPT first produced an analysis of the Future Collegiate Baseball League, despite being directed to a standings page from the Fountain City Baseball League. (If you were wondering, it’s picking the Worcester Bravehearts over the Vermont Lake Monsters). After some redirection, ChatGPT generated a page of Python code but said it was not capable of producing World Series odds. After pointing out Co-Pilot and Gemini had no trouble with the same request, the computer sighed, rolled its eyes, and produced the following result:

Team = Est. Win %

Kansas City = 37%

Boston = 33%

Philadelphia = 10%

Montreal = 8%

Baltimore = 6%

Texas = 5%

Atlanta = 3%

Cincinnati = 1%

Summary from ChatGPT

• Kansas City and Boston are clear favorites — elite Pythagorean % and best seeding.
• Philadelphia, Montreal, and Baltimore are strong contenders with solid underlying stats.
• Atlanta and Cincinnati are likely playoff exits but could pull an upset.